College Basketball Bubble Watch

CBSSports.com bracketologist Jerry Palm assesses the résumés of teams that may be sweating it out until Selection Sunday. For more from Jerry Palm, check him out on Twitter: @jppalmCBS | Palm's Bracketology updates

  • VCU
    (25-11, 14-4, 3rd ATL10 ) | RPI/Rank: 0.5876/37 | SOS/Rank: 0.5524/59
    VCU logo Opponent's CBSSports.com RPI Rank No. 1-25 No. 26-50 No. 51-100 No. 101-200 No. 201+
    W-L Record vs. Ranked Teams 1-3 1-2 6-3 9-1 7-1
    Outlook
    The Rams benefited from the chaos around them in the bracket and find themselves in a better spot this morning. However, the Rams are playing Davidson in the conference tournament on Saturday, and that isn't a team they want to end their season losing too.
    Connecticut
    (25-11, 11-7, 6th AAC ) | RPI/Rank: 0.5888/32 | SOS/Rank: 0.5570/52
    Connecticut logo Opponent's CBSSports.com RPI Rank No. 1-25 No. 26-50 No. 51-100 No. 101-200 No. 201+
    W-L Record vs. Ranked Teams 1-2 2-3 5-5 6-0 10-0
    Outlook
    The Huskies likely punched their ticket by beating Cincinnati in four overtimes to start the American conference tournament. They face Temple in the second round, who probably needs the game more.
    Cincinnati
    (22-11, 12-6, 4th AAC ) | RPI/Rank: 0.5806/48 | SOS/Rank: 0.5470/69
    Cincinnati logo Opponent's CBSSports.com RPI Rank No. 1-25 No. 26-50 No. 51-100 No. 101-200 No. 201+
    W-L Record vs. Ranked Teams 1-3 3-1 3-5 3-1 12-0
    Outlook
    Cincinnati lost an epic battle to UConn in four overtimes in the opener of the American conference tournament. With other teams shooting themselves in the foot, even the loss
  • Wichita State
    (26-9, 16-2, 1st MVC ) | RPI/Rank: 0.5810/47 | SOS/Rank: 0.5252/106
    Wichita State logo Opponent's CBSSports.com RPI Rank No. 1-25 No. 26-50 No. 51-100 No. 101-200 No. 201+
    W-L Record vs. Ranked Teams 1-1 0-1 3-5 8-1 11-0
    Outlook
    Wichita State has a win over Utah and that's pretty much it. The complaints about how some of their losses came without Fred Van Vleet ring hollow when you consider that he played in their three worst losses, including the most recent one in the MVC tournament to Northern Iowa. There just isn't much here to merit selection, but in a year where the committee will have to lower their standards, they may get in anyway.
    Monmouth
    (28-8, 17-3, 1st MAAC ) | RPI/Rank: 0.5777/52 | SOS/Rank: 0.4938/166
    Monmouth logo Opponent's CBSSports.com RPI Rank No. 1-25 No. 26-50 No. 51-100 No. 101-200 No. 201+
    W-L Record vs. Ranked Teams 0-1 1-0 2-3 8-0 16-3
    Outlook
    Monmouth will be an interesting case for the committee if the Hawks need an at-large bid. Their collection of wins is better than any of the other non-majors. However, they have three 200+ RPI losses, and that is definitely in the danger zone for getting a bid. Losing two out of three to Iona doesn't help either.
    Michigan
    (23-13, 10-8, 8th BIG10 ) | RPI/Rank: 0.5732/57 | SOS/Rank: 0.5596/45
    Michigan logo Opponent's CBSSports.com RPI Rank No. 1-25 No. 26-50 No. 51-100 No. 101-200 No. 201+
    W-L Record vs. Ranked Teams 3-7 1-4 0-1 8-0 9-0
    Outlook
    The Wolverines picked up a huge, last-second win over Indiana on Friday, giving them four top 100 wins, all of which are pretty good. They are still 4-11 against that group, but they get a chance to play themselves off the bubble on Saturday against Purdue.
    Temple
    (21-12, 14-4, 1st AAC ) | RPI/Rank: 0.5724/59 | SOS/Rank: 0.5461/74
    Temple logo Opponent's CBSSports.com RPI Rank No. 1-25 No. 26-50 No. 51-100 No. 101-200 No. 201+
    W-L Record vs. Ranked Teams 1-4 4-2 2-3 1-1 13-1
    Outlook
    Temple has an interesting profile. The Owls have some nice wins, including SMU and a sweep of UConn, and they are 7-8 against the RPI top 100. However, they they are 8-9 against the top 200. Very few teams get at-large bids that are below .500 against the top 200. They will play UConn on Saturday.
    Vanderbilt
    (19-14, 11-7, 5th SEC ) | RPI/Rank: 0.5705/63 | SOS/Rank: 0.5644/40
    Vanderbilt logo Opponent's CBSSports.com RPI Rank No. 1-25 No. 26-50 No. 51-100 No. 101-200 No. 201+
    W-L Record vs. Ranked Teams 2-6 0-1 5-3 8-3 4-0
    Outlook
    Vanderbilt lost at Texas A&M to end the regular season after having won four of the previous five. The Commodores pretty much needed to avoid a bad loss to feel good about themselves, but they couldn't do it. They lost to Tennessee, who was playing without their leading scorer, in their SEC tournament opener.
    Syracuse
    (23-14, 9-9, 10th ACC ) | RPI/Rank: 0.5636/72 | SOS/Rank: 0.5621/43
    Syracuse logo Opponent's CBSSports.com RPI Rank No. 1-25 No. 26-50 No. 51-100 No. 101-200 No. 201+
    W-L Record vs. Ranked Teams 2-5 3-1 3-4 5-2 6-1
    Outlook
    The Orange have a number of good wins, but hasn't been very good against the better teams they have faced. They lost five of their last six, the worst of which was at Florida State in the season finale. Losing five of six isn't bad by itself, but hurts because of the damage done to their profile. They lost twice to Pittsburgh in that span and three times total this season.
  • St. Mary's
    (29-6, 15-3, 1st WCC ) | RPI/Rank: 0.5872/38 | SOS/Rank: 0.5031/148
    St. Mary's logo Opponent's CBSSports.com RPI Rank No. 1-25 No. 26-50 No. 51-100 No. 101-200 No. 201+
    W-L Record vs. Ranked Teams 0-1 2-1 4-1 2-2 18-0
    Outlook
    The Gaels swept Gonzaga in the regular season, but didn't win the won that counts in the WCC tournament. SMC has played 18 games against teams ranked below 200 in the RPI, which is well over half its schedule. No team since 1994 has receive a bid with over half its schedule against that group.
    Valparaiso
    (30-7, 16-2, 1st HORIZ ) | RPI/Rank: 0.5800/49 | SOS/Rank: 0.4955/161
    Valparaiso logo Opponent's CBSSports.com RPI Rank No. 1-25 No. 26-50 No. 51-100 No. 101-200 No. 201+
    W-L Record vs. Ranked Teams 0-1 1-0 3-1 10-4 10-0
    Outlook
    Valpo took a road trip through the state of Oregon in November. They gave the Ducks fits before losing and beat Oregon State. Unfortunately, the Crusaders inability to handle the states of Wright and Ball meant having to win the Horizon tournament, which they failed to do.
    Florida
    (21-15, 9-9, 8th SEC ) | RPI/Rank: 0.5760/55 | SOS/Rank: 0.5812/18
    Florida logo Opponent's CBSSports.com RPI Rank No. 1-25 No. 26-50 No. 51-100 No. 101-200 No. 201+
    W-L Record vs. Ranked Teams 2-7 0-0 5-6 7-1 5-0
    Outlook
    Florida has played a strong schedule, but the loss count is too high. The Gators won at Missouri to end a four-game losing streak, but ultimately fell to Texas A&M in the SEC tournament. Only six teams have received at-large bids with 14 losses. Florida seems unlikely to be the seventh.
    Georgia
    (20-14, 10-8, 7th SEC ) | RPI/Rank: 0.5709/62 | SOS/Rank: 0.5740/26
    Georgia logo Opponent's CBSSports.com RPI Rank No. 1-25 No. 26-50 No. 51-100 No. 101-200 No. 201+
    W-L Record vs. Ranked Teams 0-5 0-1 6-6 10-1 3-0
    Outlook
    Georgia is still alive in the SEC tournament after a third win this season over South Carolina. In reality, that did more damage to the Gamecocks than benefit to the Bulldogs, but they are still playing, and that's a chance to keep building. Kentucky is next.
    Tulsa
    (20-12, 12-6, 5th AAC ) | RPI/Rank: 0.5729/58 | SOS/Rank: 0.5497/64
    Tulsa logo Opponent's CBSSports.com RPI Rank No. 1-25 No. 26-50 No. 51-100 No. 101-200 No. 201+
    W-L Record vs. Ranked Teams 1-1 3-4 4-3 2-3 10-0
    Outlook
    The Golden Hurricane have some nice wins, including one at SMU and a few home games against other bubblers, most recently Temple. Unfortunately for them, they took a second bad loss to Memphis, and were never remotely competitive in that game.
    South Carolina
    (25-9, 11-7, 3rd SEC ) | RPI/Rank: 0.5703/65 | SOS/Rank: 0.5136/126
    South Carolina logo Opponent's CBSSports.com RPI Rank No. 1-25 No. 26-50 No. 51-100 No. 101-200 No. 201+
    W-L Record vs. Ranked Teams 1-1 0-0 7-4 9-2 6-1
    Outlook
    The Gamecocks played a very bad non-conference schedule and seven of their eight losses, including three bad ones, have come to teams that are not likely to make the tournament. Their only win over a sure tournament team came at Texas A&M. If you're an eye-test person, they spent the last month failing it. This is a classic example of a team the committee leaves out every chance it gets.
    George Washington
    (28-10, 11-7, 5th ATL10 ) | RPI/Rank: 0.5665/68 | SOS/Rank: 0.5262/101
    George Washington logo Opponent's CBSSports.com RPI Rank No. 1-25 No. 26-50 No. 51-100 No. 101-200 No. 201+
    W-L Record vs. Ranked Teams 2-3 1-3 1-1 8-2 11-1
    Outlook
    The Colonials have a few nice wins, including Virginia and Seton Hall, but also a few bad losses. Despite those wins, they didn't play a great non-conference schedule and struggled against the better teams in the league, so they only have four top 100 wins total. They blew a big lead against St. Joe's in the conference tournament and will probably end up in the NIT.
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